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Forests for Friends Ltd manages
the plantations via its daughter company Forests for
Friends Panama Inc. in a sustainable manner. Every
business has risks and opportunities. Our business
model is long term and thus many risks are to be
seen in connexion with the uncertainties of the
future. Some of them are listed below:
Risks
The plantations are planned over a period of twenty
years. We cannot predict the development of the
political situation in Panama over
this time, whether the tax situation may change to
our disadvantage or whether the tax exemption
currently granted could be abolished.
Plantations only keep their value if they are
maintained expertly until the final
harvest. This is a huge investment. The Board of
Directors is confident that it will be able to
procure the necessary liquidity by - inter alia -
convertible bonds and loans from the shareholders,
sale of CO2-certificates, rising timber prices and
the sale of land that is not suitable for growing
teak.
Fires during the dry season are
dangerous for young plantations. Preventive measures
such as cutting the vegetation before and during the
dry season, creating fire breaks and continuous
monitoring help us reduce the risks as much as
possible. When the teak trees have reached the age
of five years, they are practically immune to fire.
Although Panama is not usually hit by hurricanes and
our plantations are on the Pacific side of the
country, tropical tornadoes can
blow teak trees over. The trees must be repositioned
and secured with ropes within a few days to be able
to continue to grow straight. We have no insurance
policy, as the premium is far too high in comparison
to the expected damage and the indemnification. In
addition, the risk distribution is
much better for a shareholding company with various
plantations than in the case of individualised tree
ownership.
The maintenance is paid in US dollars and the income
will be mainly in this currency. Therefore, part of
the available money is invested in US dollars.
Shareholders in Europe do have a currency
risk over the twenty years.
We publish the growth classes and
projections on our website. They are cautiously
calculated by BARCA and regularly updated. External
developments such as natural disasters or climate
change may influence them negatively.
Opportunities
Timber prices can rise and they can fall. Following
the financial crisis, they have fallen, but we
expect them to recover in the not too distant
future. However, we can neither predict nor
influence the price for plantation teak
in ten to twenty years’ time. The Board of
Directors, nevertheless, holds that the price for
high-value teakwood is more likely to rise. In
addition, the trees can be harvested one or two
years later, should the timber prices be in a
trough.
Panama is less influenced by the economic crisis
than the USA or many countries in the EU.
Nevertheless, the growth rate has slowed down. As we
have quite a lot of land that is not planted or is
not ideal for teak plantations, we might be able
to sell it in areas that are being
developed for tourists.
In our business model, the shareholders also own the
land which can be commercialised after the final
harvest. CO2-certificates are
becoming sought after due to the climate debate. We
are looking into this opportunity.
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